World Politics · resolved market
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa9075d972f7c3d470549416d446b9da83678b9fb2384e6360151a7f369483b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6efa…495abacked Yes | 59c | 7,307$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…f96ebacked Yes | 72c | 4,035$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 37c | 2,081$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.22 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 37c | 1,842$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.46 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,783$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…874dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,417$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 21c | 889.6$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 38c | 814.71$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 31c | 811.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 43c | 731.92$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 42c | 693.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 29c | 671$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 28c | 565$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 45c | 535.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 526.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 525.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 24c | 502.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 50c | 497.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…c45abacked Yes | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 482.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 472.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 36c | 435.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 35c | 434.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 45c | 429$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…7765backed Yes | 72c | 417.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 383.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 42c | 374.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 18c | 368.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 32c | 367.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…5f09backed Yes | 62c | 323.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 27c | 305.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…4c52backed Yes | 65c | 305.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 22c | 305$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 284.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacfa…0298backed Yes | 73c | 275.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 44c | 250$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 13c | 249.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 55c | 226.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 209$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 33c | 203.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 39c | 199.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 197.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 26c | 196.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 58c | 194.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 67c | 193.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 39c | 183.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 49c | 161.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 25c | 146.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 21c | 125.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 119.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 39c | 109.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 38c | 108.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 29c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 67c | 102.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 47c | 101.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…698fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…7663backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 37c | 99.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…07fcbacked Yes | 48c | 94.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 39c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 36c | 70.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 42c | 69.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 22c | 56.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…f258backed No | 37c | 56.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 43c | 55.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 37c | 43.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…1e65backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…26c0backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…9aeabacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…b886backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ce…b784backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…02eabacked Yes | 51c | 33.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 43c | 30.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed96…d6edbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…1983backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?this page
- Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.