TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe41…9f23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
738
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
29

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10343.7%45 W · 58 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.37
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$360
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$311.4
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.48
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$349.65
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+176%+$143.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$147
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$74.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$206.93
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT8142%34 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$99.18
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$64.05
Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.46
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$615.69
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+367.3%+$628.8
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.24
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$207.7
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$540.56
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.43
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$122.2
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$72.1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$71.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.7
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.31
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.98
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$210.9
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.2
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.2
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,277.41
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,487.3%+$468.5
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+381.7%+$1,105.38
Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.5
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.5
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$1,653.55
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.42
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.47
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.74
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.72
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$47.6
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$36.96
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$25.62
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$59.74
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5131.4%16 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$137.65
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$7.66
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$9.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$39.36
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.24
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.04
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.91
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.6
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.88
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$22.4
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?backed Anthropic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$69.68
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+431.9%+$134.11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$31.01
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$178.55
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.0B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$98.23
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.73
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.44
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.01
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$34.88
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$69.82
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$10.18
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$252
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.55
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$104.49
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$592
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.59
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$53.76
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.72
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$464
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$504
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.75
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$464
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$168
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$54.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.11
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$31.94
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.84
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$118.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26.59
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+238%+$93.49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$97.8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.33
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$264
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Daybacked Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41.25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.35
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+1,026.8%+$198.65
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$118
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.39
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$36.34
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48%+$25.96
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$88.69
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$179.17
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.15
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
CS2 EWC 2026: Will an Open Qualifier Team Finish Top 8 at EWC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30.71
Will BB Team make playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.35
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$52.22
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$182.77
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$95.06
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Vitality make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$56.42
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$1,079
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$678.59
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.89
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.94
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$64.52
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$36.92
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+426.3%+$131.73
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arcium launch a token by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.48
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$58.91
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$125.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Wild" - KATSEYE first week album sales be 75k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.8
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.56
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.6
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$818.84
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick62cpaid-39.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.5
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 18-24 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$35.49
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.76
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-79.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-67.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trent Williams be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Alvin Kamara be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephan Jaeger finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$124.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mookie Betts hit a home run at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.