Poker · resolved market
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x407a57edbe2b72c403cfee2c0f43e4b54f1b70a2531c7ad598849c3a70c2ad99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked No | 76c | 12,225$9,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…8fb5backed Yes | 8c | 8,892$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Yes | 7c | 5,440$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 24c | 5,195$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…e79abacked Yes | 25c | 4,860$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,873$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,253$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…c2b8backed Yes | 24c | 2,103$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…7c57backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 76c | 1,398$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 23c | 1,251$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…cee3backed Yes | 15c | 1,077$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 76c | 1,000$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 853.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…4fa0backed Yes | 27c | 734.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 76c | 724.06$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 7c | 620.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 76c | 599.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…fac2backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 79c | 537.49$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 24c | 500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed No | 73c | 500$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…fc35backed Yes | 24c | 424.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…5701backed Yes | 24c | 423.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 79c | 417.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 5c | 334.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…9e52backed Yes | 24c | 309.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 9c | 287.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 5c | 229.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…d22fbacked Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…55d4backed Yes | 19c | 133.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…a65cbacked Yes | 30c | 133.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 28c | 108.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 16c | 91.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 76c | 85.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 67c | 60.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 75c | 56.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 24c | 49.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…fbe2backed No | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…ece8backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 76c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…b31dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…072ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…bdb8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…4012backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?this page
- Will Evagoras Evagorou Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Jamie Shaevel Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes won
- Will Mario Boos Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.