TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa68…94a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
348
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT9642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$224
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$203.26
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$101.18
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.42
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$217.84
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$261.36
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+212.7%+$204.06
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$108.8
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$620.4
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$554.39
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$136.8
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+439.5%+$579.21
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$204.6
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$299.99
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$66.15
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+257.1%+$504
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT9250%46 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.32
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275.02
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.13
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.7
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$220.11
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.89
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$202.16
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$277.85
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$207.36
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$96.95
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$133
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$16.2
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$234.95
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$304.86
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$206.49
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$260
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.76
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.9
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$204.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$241.03
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$439.56
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$155.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$683.81
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.25
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$103.68
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$102.35
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$172.37
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$153.9
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$241.16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$197.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.03
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$158.08
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$210.23
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$160.06
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$206.91
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$669.98
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+165.5%+$934.99
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$223.02
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$481.5
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$574
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$105.9
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$294
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.37
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$86.94
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$637
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$102.5
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$410.4
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$104.4
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$263.5
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$112.14
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$320.09
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$414.96
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$180.6
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$109.2
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35%+$199.49
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.57
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$46.19
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+111.6%+$52.75
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$82.04
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+233.3%+$174.99
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,820Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+31.9%+$580
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$17.1
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$10.58
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$303.2
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$181.46
Senate control after 2024 election?backed Republicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+25.6%+$504.08
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$186
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$155
Will a Republican win Maryland US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$214
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$132
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$306.45
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$93.92
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$520
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+257.1%+$576
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+379.5%+$1,802.94
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.74
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$35.7
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+83.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+716.9%+$254.5
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$144
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.67
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+179%+$75.02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+244.8%+$355
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$219
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+44.9%+$155
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+426.3%+$121.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+244.8%+$400.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$33.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$54.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ye banned on X in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.