TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Raptors, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,108,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,259,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,108,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Raptors47c200,000$93,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,499.8554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Lakers53c150,505$79,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,800.1422453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Raptors45c133,328$59,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,997.5821057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Raptors47c102,496$48,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,322.7313248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Raptors46c80,408$36,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,987.854158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers53c77,467$40,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,738.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Lakers55c71,135$39,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,728.4617646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x643c…4219backed Lakers60c65,463$39,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,911.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers48c65,129$31,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,593.241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors45c64,505$29,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,329.8287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers53c60,000$31,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,20048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Raptors42c55,640$23,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,152.72951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors16c49,000$7,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,634.878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2db…aa08backed Raptors43c45,400$19,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,497.091442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers51c40,046$20,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,484.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers54c36,749$19,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,784.422,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors52c34,862$18,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,076.6751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Raptors6c31,667$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90018140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Raptors51c31,377$15,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,912.739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Lakers51c29,987$15,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,693.8440446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors55c29,434$16,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,327.4119136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors51c27,664$14,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,066.2159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers67c25,216$16,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,394.791,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Raptors54c24,800$13,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,391.9819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Lakers54c24,391$13,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,169.136359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Raptors52c23,753$12,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,351.5926949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Raptors53c23,657$12,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,538.221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers48c22,753$11,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,734.166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Lakers50c22,524$11,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,292.1111547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors27c22,450$6,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,052.821,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Raptors52c22,024$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,5007062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Lakers55c21,818$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,818.183884.2%32 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+59.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers53c20,571$10,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,655.372,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers51c19,524$9,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,577.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed Lakers52c19,212$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,221.522466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Raptors48c18,875$9,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,115.4835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Lakers47c18,114$8,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600.224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Lakers47c17,668$8,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,363.9810547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers48c17,592$8,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,140.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors39c17,085$6,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,665.2383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Raptors42c17,000$7,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,185.171,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Raptors45c16,422$7,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,389.935747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers55c16,197$8,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,293.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed Raptors25c16,020$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Raptors52c15,333$7,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,955.2634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Lakers55c14,586$8,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.616358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Lakers52c14,000$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,719.9921944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers46c12,905$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.7229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers54c12,749$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,841.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors45c12,656$5,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,642.863,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors40c12,235$4,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.1248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Lakers56c11,691$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,143.9815247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Raptors36c11,599$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.5914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors0c11,543$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.228820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Raptors30c10,101$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.514729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Raptors0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe65e…d9d0backed Raptors0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc034…59fbbacked Raptors53c9,963$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,317.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Lakers50c9,807$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,863.0930947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers51c9,790$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.882,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Lakers53c9,614$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.776651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Lakers77c9,604$7,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.5212740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Lakers53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.968662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Raptors49c9,239$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.8938046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Raptors52c8,917$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,636.828649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Lakers46c8,816$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,760.3840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers47c8,356$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.041,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Raptors50c8,311$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.1739958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Raptors8c8,220$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.057135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Lakers50c8,120$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.3161336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors44c8,067$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.961,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Lakers53c8,008$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.2627758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Raptors50c8,000$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9704443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Raptors21c7,951$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.62924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Lakers56c7,785$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.2528439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Lakers55c7,398$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7f…2658backed Lakers67c7,100$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3432157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Lakers50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50013455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Raptors4c6,884$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27728616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers55c6,873$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.0527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Raptors1c6,750$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Raptors42c6,712$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.8914751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Lakers48c6,490$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.5621440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors48c6,386$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.911,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Raptors29c6,014$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.1246145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82b…e65abacked Raptors0c5,994$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Lakers56c5,927$3,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.3624458.2%142 W · 102 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Lakers47c5,914$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.0722459.4%133 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Lakers54c5,907$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.411250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Raptors47c5,820$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.7558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Lakers53c5,789$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.0411252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers51c5,713$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.8762351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce8…d50dbacked Lakers46c5,600$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Raptors45c5,535$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Lakers53c5,460$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.3828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers59c5,455$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Raptors33c5,448$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.356945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Raptors45c5,306$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Raptors41c5,237$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.091526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Raptors46c5,070$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.25152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.