NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e5f90b34142d62d8e754c3c5cf764204282c947242fd0da4f4fa345e7b90ca0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $175,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $179,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,007 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Over	51c	110,998$56,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,609.01	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	49c	49,430$24,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,209.12	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Under	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,400	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	52cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	49c	15,911$7,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,148.3	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	50c	10,000$4,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,040.16	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under	49c	9,243$4,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,713.86	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	46c	8,977$4,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,087.76	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	6,580$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,151.1	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	57c	5,543$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,383.5	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under	53c	4,320$2,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.24	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	51c	2,999$1,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.49	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over	52c	2,877$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.18	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under	50c	2,244$1,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,122	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	50c	2,196$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	51c	1,545$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.65	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	35c	1,532$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.16	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	69c	1,511$1,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.41	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over	51c	1,471$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	1,090$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.96	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over	48c	999.99$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	908.68$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	42c	901.59$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over	51c	889.22$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.5	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	58c	867.11$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.35	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+24%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under	65c	703.72$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.3	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over	50c	595$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.45	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	44c	535.54$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.48	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	50c	499.69$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.85	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	50c	404$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	48c	400$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under	49c	356.05$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.59	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	47c	355.32$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under	57c	350$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	47c	344$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.68	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	40c	315.2$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.32	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	53c	299.99$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Under	65c	291$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.85	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Under	47c	286.73$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.1	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over	54c	278.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…e274backed Under	58c	255$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	51c	221.94$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.19	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	57c	220.95$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.01	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Under	57c	215.44$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.64	66	60.6%40 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under	50c	200.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.46	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdb…5f54backed Under	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	55c	163.01$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.01	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c0…6aa1backed Over	59c	160.66$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.30per pick	57cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under	51c	159.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.89	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Under	61c	157.38$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.38	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	47c	157.35$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.54	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under	49c	150.3$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.72	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Over	50c	133.14$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.57	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over	53c	131.91$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.44	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	47c	131.2$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.67	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc66f…18efbacked Under	50c	129.64$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.82	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…d5d3backed Under	49c	123.06$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.06	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	45c	112.12$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.12	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	51c	105.49$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under	56c	102$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.88	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c0…a76cbacked Over	34c	102$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over	48c	101.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.91	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	258	46.9%121 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a6e…5741backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.7wins	-0.25per pick	51cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under	50c	94$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	421	43.7%184 W · 237 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under	56c	93.18$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	243	63.8%155 W · 88 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	65c	88.5$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.69	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under	54c	83.46$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.39	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under	58c	81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over	51c	78.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Under	60c	75.09$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.04	111	36%40 W · 71 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under	40c	75.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.05	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b75…d083backed Over	42c	68$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e5…be5ebacked Over	47c	63.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6a…2f16backed Over	52c	59.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	53c	59.27$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.09	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	44c	56.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c3c…0696backed Under	54c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	45c	54.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.13	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under	50c	50.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.33	166	58.4%97 W · 69 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over	51c	49.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under	50c	48.44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.22	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Over	44c	46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f9…4375backed Under	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5this page
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Raptors vs. LakersLakers won
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event