NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e93158fd66affc4fbb270f5941f51eb7536b448d012dd63aadee745795834b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 47c | 383,621$180,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,328.54 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 53c | 250,000$132,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 53c | 45,569$24,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,532.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 53c | 43,720$23,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,639.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 53c | 11,227$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lakers | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.17 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lakers | 47c | 10,643$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.73 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 10,185$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 53c | 9,811$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.05 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Lakers | 53c | 7,984$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.56 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 53c | 7,536$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.09 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Raptors | 46c | 7,231$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.13 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Lakers | 49c | 7,179$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.15 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 53c | 6,719$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Raptors | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Lakers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 51c | 2,808$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.17 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 50c | 2,300$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.32 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 58c | 2,203$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 46c | 2,152$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Lakers | 45c | 1,928$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 51c | 1,737$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.7 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Raptors | 55c | 1,338$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,173$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lakers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Raptors | 56c | 1,001$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 54c | 973$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 53c | 931$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 51c | 702.27$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Lakers | 48c | 507.35$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.89 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Lakers | 46c | 499.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 53c | 458.24$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Raptors | 56c | 447.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Lakers | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Lakers | 44c | 378.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Raptors | 67c | 365.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Raptors | 51c | 318$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Raptors | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 44c | 285$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Lakers | 54c | 269.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Lakers | 54c | 243.42$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Raptors | 19c | 235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Lakers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Raptors | 55c | 226.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Raptors | 47c | 212.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Lakers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3e…cbb1backed Raptors | 12c | 190.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Lakers | 54c | 185.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Raptors | 6c | 177.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…727ebacked Lakers | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lakers | 56c | 161.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…0a70backed Raptors | 38c | 146.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Lakers | 52c | 143.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Raptors | 50c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Raptors | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Lakers | 58c | 97.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 58c | 96.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…6109backed Lakers | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Raptors | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 56c | 87.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Lakers | 54c | 85.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…6df0backed Raptors | 47c | 84.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Raptors | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lakers | 54c | 74.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lakers | 44c | 74.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 45c | 69.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Raptors | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Lakers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Lakers | 55c | 53.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Lakers | 55c | 52.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Lakers | 53c | 52.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Lakers | 54c | 51.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Lakers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Lakers | 52c | 49.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…6568backed Lakers | 71c | 48.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 49c | 47.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Raptors | 43c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Lakers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Lakers | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Lakers | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Lakers | 53c | 44.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Lakers | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Raptors | 50c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…b3aebacked Lakers | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…6bd5backed Raptors | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Raptors | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Lakers | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…a31ebacked Raptors | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers | 49c | 30.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Raptors | 57c | 27.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. LakersLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.