TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08b6…7db6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
334
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST12245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.78
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.78
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+55.2%+$50.01
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.39
Spread: Florida Gators (-15.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.99
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.57
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+91.6%+$20.78
Spread: Hampton Pirates (-5.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.92
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$24.5
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.86
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.84
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.25
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.29
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.95
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-5.5)backed Sacramento State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$17.09
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.42
Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-3.5)backed Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST12062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.19
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.29
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+36.6%+$53.6
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+87.8%+$93.52
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$337.2
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$32.36
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+46.4%+$10.74
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.8%+$16.72
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.29
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.07
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.14
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Spread: Bulls (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.8%+$40.22
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.65
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.25
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70.35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.82
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$176.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+48.3%+$90.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$442.45
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+131%+$21.74
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+55.6%+$246.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$297.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+204.9%+$93.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.5%+$19.51
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.1%+$125
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.7%+$11.39
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.3%+$15.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.5%+$57.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+27.5%+$122.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.2%+$51.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$34.49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.44
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.78
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70.37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+40.3%+$20.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+80.2%+$180.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28%+$9.53
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.94
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+87.8%+$14.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+59.8%+$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$4.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.