Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34622cb7edd15af19d05cddfac8c5047cd13599469c1fe282dea125891f0e68e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 600,347$300,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300,179.81 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 321,079$160,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,539.34 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 50c | 199,424$99,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,712.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 40,994$20,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,487 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 32,500$16,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,175 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 50c | 12,222$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 8,046$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.17 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 7,744$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 5,010$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,824$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 51c | 1,580$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.4 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 52c | 969.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 51c | 801.38$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 704.23$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 544.92$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 50c | 348.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 316.34$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 264.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 51c | 232.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 52c | 195.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 53c | 129.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…7592backed Over | 79c | 126.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 21c | 106.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 51c | 92.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 51c | 79.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 51c | 75.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 52c | 66.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 51c | 60.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 56.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 55.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 51.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 48.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 50c | 48.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Under | 42c | 47.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 46.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 50c | 33.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed Under | 40c | 31.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…2dafbacked Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 51c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…8b9abacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…3cfcbacked Over | 51c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 51c | 21.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…70c5backed Over | 66c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5this page
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst LakersMercyhurst Lakers won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5Over won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-1.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.