Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f268e554b6c2bd1eb94922ac06c5194152fb6a8641d69de414fb70fa60aa8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 401,095$192,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,525.41 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 400,000$208,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 164,466$80,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,423.24 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 163,530$83,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,994.46 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,452$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 52c | 4,998$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.25 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,213$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 2,200$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 56c | 1,784$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.39 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 48c | 1,400$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Over | 56c | 886.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Under | 47c | 589.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 51c | 585.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 53c | 309.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Over | 54c | 279.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 250$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 231.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Over | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 183.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 158$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 52c | 140.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Over | 55c | 63.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 52c | 63.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over | 53c | 58.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 51c | 58.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…10f5backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 52c | 50.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…793dbacked Over | 52c | 47.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Over | 52c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…9439backed Over | 52c | 46.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 52c | 46.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Over | 52c | 45.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Over | 53c | 44.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 52c | 43.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…85a2backed Over | 55c | 38.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Over | 52c | 38.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 35.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Under | 48c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Over | 52c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…b6bebacked Over | 52c | 24.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Over | 52c | 24.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5this page
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst LakersMercyhurst Lakers won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-1.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.