TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b97…f776

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-3.5)backed Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Kansas City Roos vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+130%+$40.93
Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$4.97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+292.4%+$58.12
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.74
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.1%+$6.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.4%+$4.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.