CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1c2cdd94b73fd83d733d2e0a731085ea4a55a74299cc75bd9df539fe9720cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 48c | 235,359$111,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,911.24 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 52c | 169,792$88,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,500.21 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 54c | 58,777$31,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,199.56 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under | 52c | 3,012$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.95 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…f7abbacked Under | 52c | 2,130$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 3c | 1,756$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 42c | 1,586$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,179$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.42 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 54c | 818.95$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.91 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 55c | 637.7$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.06 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 42c | 618.48$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 42c | 565.73$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 52c | 308$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Over | 42c | 297.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 41c | 296.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 56c | 263.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Over | 42c | 257.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 47c | 214.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 213$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 55c | 169.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 55c | 163.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 46c | 157.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 64c | 155.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked Under | 65c | 154.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed Under | 66c | 151.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 120.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…3442backed Under | 58c | 103.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 67c | 102.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 53c | 96.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 49c | 96.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 45c | 89.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under | 59c | 84.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 42c | 80.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Over | 38c | 65.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 68c | 60.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 75c | 53.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 51.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 22c | 49.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Over | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Under | 67c | 44.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 57c | 40.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 27c | 40.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…6ef0backed Over | 45c | 39.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48c…d313backed Under | 54c | 39.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Under | 53c | 37.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…0e7fbacked Over | 33c | 30.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a8…553abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 25.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Under | 72c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…a97bbacked Under | 56c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…09dabacked Under | 58c | 20.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageVitality won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.