CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9253174cf5a689e9fd916dfa89c77720999fad030d5acc2fd0c1922eb85ec5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d61…27a2backed Vitality | 39c | 10,410$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…5f35backed MOUZ | 61c | 10,400$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 60c | 6,508$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.73 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed MOUZ | 61c | 5,408$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.78 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality | 39c | 3,025$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.31 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality | 39c | 2,351$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.52 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality | 40c | 1,400$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,342$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.49 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,270$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.19 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Vitality | 40c | 996.42$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 61c | 818.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Vitality | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Vitality | 35c | 616.37$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.64 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Vitality | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked MOUZ | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Vitality | 39c | 419.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 35c | 315.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…8465backed Vitality | 40c | 301.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Vitality | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 64c | 293.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Vitality | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Vitality | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Vitality | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Vitality | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed MOUZ | 63c | 246.62$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ | 61c | 238$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ | 6c | 222.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Vitality | 39c | 209$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed MOUZ | 60c | 205.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Vitality | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 62c | 193$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 36c | 186.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ | 60c | 178$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 60c | 177.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Vitality | 80c | 153.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Vitality | 39c | 153.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed MOUZ | 62c | 150.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Vitality | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked MOUZ | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Vitality | 37c | 137$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed MOUZ | 65c | 135.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Vitality | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked Vitality | 39c | 100.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Vitality | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Vitality | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Vitality | 36c | 92.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Vitality | 40c | 92.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed MOUZ | 50c | 71.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Vitality | 39c | 70.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed MOUZ | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 40c | 55.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed MOUZ | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked MOUZ | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…6b17backed Vitality | 80c | 46.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MOUZ | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Vitality | 58c | 36.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed MOUZ | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…f268backed MOUZ | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…0044backed Vitality | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked MOUZ | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed MOUZ | 61c | 18.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageVitality won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.