TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0947…f948

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Golf at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT9162.6%57 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.01
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.09
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$11.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51%+$13.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.43
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5961%36 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.44
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$17.12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.31
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.68
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.41
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$25.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+65.7%+$17.44
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.02
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+87.5%+$28
All 16 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$10.22
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$236.29
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$68.23
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+137.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.