TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzak

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Filsof Fils, Majchrzak
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Majchrzak30c14,953$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,558.062,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Majchrzak54c8,730$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,747.3411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Fils55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15018337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Fils55c6,706$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.252,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Majchrzak38c6,089$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.4881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Majchrzak30c5,851$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.792,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Majchrzak31c5,413$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.11,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Majchrzak32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9623126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Fils63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.648851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Fils69c2,824$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.441353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Fils59c2,806$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.7722634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Fils68c2,793$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.3220261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Majchrzak40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fils40c2,500$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.6844360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Fils57c2,500$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.0569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Fils64c2,157$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.2993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fils67c2,134$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.648,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Fils68c1,919$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.119264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Fils70c1,682$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.555354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Majchrzak30c1,665$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.516636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Fils68c1,625$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52014450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Fils37c1,614$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.431,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Fils69c1,377$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.836934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Majchrzak38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Majchrzak38c1,297$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Fils56c1,246$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.791,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Fils68c1,150$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36848552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fils68c1,071$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Majchrzak11c1,022$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99aa…04fcbacked Majchrzak35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…bb2dbacked Fils65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Majchrzak37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Fils64c999.98$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9918756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fils58c973.45$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Majchrzak63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Fils66c825.45$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4513260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked Majchrzak61c822.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Fils67c782$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0624340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fils60c706.32$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.276,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fils54c682$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Majchrzak31c619.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fils65c560.59$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.513,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Fils55c550.53$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.742,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…fa9bbacked Fils69c504.54$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Fils60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Fils46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.994946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Majchrzak37c467.95$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.326,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Fils67c446.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1147946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Fils69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7859165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Majchrzak24c430$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.549632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Fils60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Majchrzak47c411.51$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.93357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Fils76c402.85$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.851850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Majchrzak13c401.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.231,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Fils38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24819637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77a…ce3cbacked Fils53c399.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Majchrzak32c399.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Fils64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6382560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Fils66c360$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.629661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Fils58c351$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.427632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Fils77c344.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5213456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Fils57c342$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.061,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Majchrzak37c336.92$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.83745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fa…1a66backed Fils62c322.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.93275%24 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Majchrzak36c304.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.81,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Fils62c304.05$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5414766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Majchrzak38c303.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.121,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Fils67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9913554.8%74 W · 61 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Majchrzak32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9629636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Majchrzak33c299.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Fils67c298.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7310756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Majchrzak32c294.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.116648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Majchrzak41c278.29$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7346030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Majchrzak37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Majchrzak30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Majchrzak32c258.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.521,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Fils39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Fils64c230.61$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7140744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Majchrzak37c226.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Majchrzak45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Majchrzak45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fils69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Fils68c217$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Fils41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11825355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Majchrzak45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Fils43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11518644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Majchrzak31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Majchrzak51c197.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Fils65c195.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1565652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Fils69c189$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5938048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Majchrzak30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Fils66c179.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9225556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Fils56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5752460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Majchrzak57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Fils70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4339872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Majchrzak37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.94035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fils49c164$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6425957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Fils66c158.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.829749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf77…d66dbacked Majchrzak32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506053.3%32 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad52…65cbbacked Fils68c151.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.