TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3eeb…fe8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.28
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000.56
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,298.18
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,001Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$896.31
Rio Open: Jaime Faria vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,027.2
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$584.6
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,949Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$875.44
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,892.51
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,662.87
Australian Open Women's: Anouk Koevermans vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$246.5
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$999.6
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,772.28
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,597.6
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$4,150.05
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,163.72
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$525.03
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$392
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$598
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+91.5%+$183.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,001Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,329.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$456.82
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,299.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+59.8%+$1,788.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,549Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$2,300.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$257.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$685.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.