TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Jaime Faria vs Sebastian Baez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fariaof Faria, Baez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Faria70c12,259$8,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.228,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Baez59c10,297$6,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,075.145644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Faria49c8,670$4,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Faria38c7,382$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.7781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Faria47c6,380$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baez9c5,999$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.042,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Baez66c5,893$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.523834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Baez47c5,213$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.11,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Baez80c5,031$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Faria54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Baez49c4,200$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Faria34c4,171$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.32,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Faria40c3,921$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.122,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…13d1backed Faria39c2,767$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Baez80c2,534$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.21353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Baez56c2,492$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.021,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Faria21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5801,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Faria40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.0926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Faria23c1,784$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.369950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Faria20c1,737$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.961,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Baez60c1,676$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Baez60c1,670$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Baez69c1,449$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.1163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baez80c1,402$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.8727063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Baez50c1,367$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Baez50c1,296$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.696740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Faria49c1,218$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.0637339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Baez62c804.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Faria17c800$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6646,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Baez78c712.75$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3633241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Faria20c674.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baez38c609$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Faria40c574.75$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.851,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Faria19c574$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.941,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0813…8e62backed Faria78c548.22$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.222445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Faria19c500$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Baez44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9939438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Faria20c495$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39631332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Baez51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Faria34c398.48$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Baez76c395$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.259165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Faria29c378.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2335032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Faria19c370.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.118248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ea…3df4backed Baez53c370.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Baez80c337.3$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8410557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Faria30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3340141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Faria46c329.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2650364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Baez78c326.13$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.353058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb723…9129backed Baez79c315.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507459.5%44 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Faria51c315.14$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.336,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Faria19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24386835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Faria19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24346649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839a…e59cbacked Baez61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Baez51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Faria18c254.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Baez80c250.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Faria58c243.28$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1510348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Baez77c220.78$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Baez61c205.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3130744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Baez52c203.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10619452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Faria50c202$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.322729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Faria19c201.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1822747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Faria19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16232842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Baez59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Faria20c183.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.561,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Baez68c180.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4810956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…64eebacked Baez59c174.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Faria19c172$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3238048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Baez60c167.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Faria19c158$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Faria61c150.69$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.775056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Baez74c149.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4413356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Faria24c137.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.511054.5%60 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Baez17c133.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.842,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Faria20c130.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.351,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Baez77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Faria55c127.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3617056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Baez80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ac9…c6cbbacked Faria21c124.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+142.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Baez64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Faria19c113.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2724846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Baez57c105.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Faria41c104.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Baez50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5118540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Faria20c101.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7328424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Faria19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Baez77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7777967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Faria22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Baez47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Baez51c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8818541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Baez68c98.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6546030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Baez60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5431039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba4f…7ecebacked Baez71c88.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Faria39c86.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Faria20c83.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8330254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Baez34c82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6652037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Faria40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Faria47c77.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.125745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Baez57c70.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.973,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baez46c65.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.383,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.