TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9edc…b088

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
573
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT28424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 284 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cilic vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Miami Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
Jovic vs. Gibson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
Miami Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Rafael Jodarbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Damm vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+378.4%+$122.64
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Alexander Zverevbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Muller vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.75
Miami Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open, Qualification: Reese Brantmeier vs Yue Yuanbacked Reese Brantmeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.22
Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs Tomovabacked Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Set 1 Winner: Brengle vs Fruhvirtovabacked Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Pegula vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$173.11
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$125.28
Antalya 3: Nuria Brancaccio vs Julia Grabherbacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$107.9
Antalya 3: Polina Kudermetova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126.15
Showing 25 of 284 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST11835.6%42 W · 76 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$666.98
Valencia vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$134.48
Real Madrid vs. Granadabacked Granada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62.67
Burgos vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked Burgos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+134%+$39.6
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$148.7
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Saski Baskoniabacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.2%+$349.73
Valencia vs. Forca Lleida CEbacked Forca Lleida CE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.96
Real Madrid vs. Basket Zaragozabacked Basket Zaragoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Virtus Bologna vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+375%+$789.62
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.36
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$239.92
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Monacobacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Anadolu Efes vs. Valenciabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$25.62
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+306.1%+$753.58
Beijing Ducks vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$560
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.53
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$197.53
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138.02
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+773.6%+$882.55
CB Murcia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.8
Manresa vs. Unicajabacked Manresa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.44
Ningbo Rockets vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$720
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$796.2
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$606.86
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT6235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.11
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Blues vs. Jets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$166
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.04
Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+450.4%+$63.64
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+420.2%+$53.89
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+401.5%+$159.78
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+68.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (W)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$249.03
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins (W)backed Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.68
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.2%+$82.77
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (W)backed Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Kansas Jayhawks vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$79.48
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers (W)backed Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+614.3%+$860
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Utah Utes (W)backed Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$346.5
Providence Friars vs. Villanova Wildcats (W)backed Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bears (W)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Utah Utes (W)backed Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$424.33
TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights (W)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bears (W)backed Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.4%+$320.78
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50.37
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (W)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+196.9%+$31.76
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)backed West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+36.3%+$29.43
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$560.13
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$101.73
Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats (W)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+87.9%+$14.06
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$11.37
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$8.54
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
Emmett vs. Murphybacked Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.86
Finney vs. Valentinbacked Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Moreno vs. Ercegbacked Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.35
García vs. Pichelbacked García · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+27%+$3.83
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.72
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergbacked Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Hollandbacked Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.69
Marcin Tybura vs. Mick Parkinbacked Parkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.31
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.7
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$36.63
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+120.6%+$18.59
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.01
Mairon Santos vs. Francis Marshallbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.08
Kape vs. Almabayevbacked Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8.96
Haqparast vs. Ribovicsbacked Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.81
Amil vs. Gomisbacked Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+203.6%+$21.46
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Song · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+39.9%+$8.56
Bitlord vs. Korean Jewbacked Bitlord · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+76.5%+$9.97
Vieira vs. Petroskibacked Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+312.6%+$41.67
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$447.03
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$31.11
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.44
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+103.5%+$121.54
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.38
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$9.87
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$46.22
Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$430.97
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$15.61
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.71
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.31
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+140.4%+$14.6
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$54.63
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.07
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$56.65
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.09
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.7%+$25.73
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.5%+$16.78
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+90.3%+$21.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+205.5%+$819.93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$30.33
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$9.99
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+166.5%+$36.86
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$10.06
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$534.47
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.47
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$35.62
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.3%+$7.91
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.11
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$10.74
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.42
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$162.42
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.62
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.31
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+228.7%+$96.71
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+133.6%+$20.02
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66.07
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+142.6%+$17.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.54
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+54.1%+$53.83
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+354.2%+$168.44
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42.38
Will "Wicked" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.31
Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+51.2%+$42.98
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+40.2%+$11.75
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Conclave"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.78
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Complete Unknown"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+192.7%+$44.11
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 SAG Award for "Emilia Pérez"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.1%+$17.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+86.2%+$11.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$9.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.