World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26fd85f0907ff72bba2adefa47c9ab827ec51d7336f10021a46094c5413b6394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,090,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,001,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,090,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3091…a2a9backed Yes | 2c | 60,687$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…85bcbacked Yes | 1c | 58,772$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13d…47f5backed Yes | 3c | 47,852$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 47,160$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.5 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…d487backed Yes | 2c | 45,749$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…9bd8backed Yes | 3c | 39,928$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes | 2c | 39,182$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 32,845$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.75 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…0439backed Yes | 5c | 28,027$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 10c | 24,351$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…130ebacked Yes | 2c | 22,952$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 14c | 19,484$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…3290backed Yes | 1c | 16,893$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…00cabacked Yes | 1c | 16,424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 2c | 15,768$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 39c | 15,150$5,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 6c | 14,450$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.72 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 13,771$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.81 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…3da6backed Yes | 1c | 10,499$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 53c | 10,424$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 37c | 10,013$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 31c | 9,404$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.18 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…1343backed Yes | 1c | 9,127$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…efd1backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…c982backed Yes | 47c | 8,844$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed Yes | 20c | 7,121$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 18c | 7,080$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +640.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…ae31backed Yes | 2c | 6,462$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…c7b9backed No | 59c | 5,570$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…2cd2backed Yes | 9c | 5,465$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 20c | 5,266$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…2ed2backed No | 14c | 4,570$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +487.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,244$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 66c | 4,147$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.48 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…0939backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,490$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,245$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…7737backed Yes | 46c | 3,171$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked No | 80c | 3,158$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…7213backed Yes | 3c | 3,100$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…bf58backed Yes | 1c | 3,024$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 25c | 2,989$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 79c | 2,968$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…0252backed Yes | 2c | 2,943$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,921$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 64c | 2,686$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…773cbacked No | 77c | 2,674$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 51c | 2,618$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed No | 55c | 2,384$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b70…1a3abacked Yes | 1c | 2,233$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 71c | 2,220$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 28c | 2,003$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.41 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yes | 1c | 1,998$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 34c | 1,970$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.7 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…0801backed Yes | 21c | 1,935$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked No | 59c | 1,923$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…6d79backed Yes | 2c | 1,881$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 41c | 1,876$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 41c | 1,868$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.72 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 69c | 1,739$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.63 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…665dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,670$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 59c | 1,554$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.81 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 7c | 1,471$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a785backed Yes | 2c | 1,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…3ff7backed No | 69c | 1,420$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…d2afbacked No | 51c | 1,380$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…e579backed Yes | 2c | 1,349$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3b…47bebacked Yes | 18c | 1,311$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…ed51backed No | 45c | 1,257$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 51c | 1,223$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 52c | 1,211$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.64 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 30c | 1,208$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 67c | 1,205$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,005$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked No | 61c | 976.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked Yes | 35c | 922.17$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 60c | 903.77$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c05backed Yes | 2c | 886.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…6069backed No | 57c | 886.06$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked No | 78c | 880.05$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Yes | 74c | 856.82$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…27b3backed No | 27c | 801.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed No | 45c | 793.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…2aa7backed Yes | 22c | 777.39$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 3c | 770$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 32c | 769.58$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed No | 50c | 761.15$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 70c | 738.47$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 20c | 728.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 44c | 713.14$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.73 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 24c | 699.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…707dbacked Yes | 62c | 682.2$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 26c | 679$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed Yes | 66c | 636.32$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6065…6d3ebacked Yes | 2c | 629.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.