TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89b3…6ed8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
399
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT17256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$212.04
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,241.82
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$871.35
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,229.23
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,616.32
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.59
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+103.1%+$1,202.48
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$744.17
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,062Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$687.71
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,850.78
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,192.32
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.52
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.49
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.84
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$71.01
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.33
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$401.05
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$757.8
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+76.4%+$340.29
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.29
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.87
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$611.38
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$302.71
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.57
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT6177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.19
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$75.98
Will Everton vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.52
Will Manchester City vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$29.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+247.7%+$49.53
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$28.5
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$38.75
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.95
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$136.78
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$95
Will Leicester vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$114.52
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$62.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.45
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$30.4
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.25
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,630.83
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$515.85
Record low border encounters in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.66
Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$47.4
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$175.72
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.85
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$275.91
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$327
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53%+$45.54
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$8.06
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,968.7
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69%+$122.5
Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$1,402.12
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$51.5
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$42.5
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$68.88
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$11.54
Will the Green Party win a seat in British Columbia ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT3369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$47.96
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.05
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.36
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$49.36
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$27.75
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT2580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$121.86
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$55.33
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$664.18
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$526.48
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,951Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$978.49
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$84.5
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$228.75
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+67%+$30.16
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.8
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$51.99
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.29
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+101%+$92.94
Xavier vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.5
St. Mary's vs. American Universitybacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$41.5
North Carolina vs. San Diego Statebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Wisconsin vs. Michiganbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Alabama State vs. Jackson Statebacked Alabama State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Louisville vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$33
Michigan vs. Marylandbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$117.04
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$52.5
Auburn vs. Kentuckybacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Arkansas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+27%+$21.25
St. Louis vs. Loyola Chicagobacked Loyola Chicago · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$65.51
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$110.02
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$23.24
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$24
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$11.62
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$30.8
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$45.5
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+27.7%+$10.72
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+34.2%+$12.75
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+40.4%+$20.55
Will Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.5
Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$187.5
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$52.5
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$89.77
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+25.9%+$19.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$33.75
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Athletic Club vs. Rangers end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$15.25
Will Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$93.03
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$47.31
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Athletic Club vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$63.25
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$117.25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+37%+$6.75
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$177.49
Will PAOK win on 2025-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Twente beat Bodo Glimt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+45.2%+$32.37
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+35%+$188.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.25
Trump approval >45% on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$16.25
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.99
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+221.5%+$49.16
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+25.2%+$9.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick69cpaid-63%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Oriolesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.