TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$407,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed No20c292,611$59,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,658.372646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes80c78,537$62,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,903.7511454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes79c71,029$55,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,080.276953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes80c46,814$37,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,543.113857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes80c35,721$28,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,144.2218948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes79c7,590$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No13c6,987$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No25c4,809$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.8838645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes80c4,452$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.991,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No4c4,165$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.463240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes80c4,027$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.2313547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bf…6577backed No24c3,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes80c3,170$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes80c3,000$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61421153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No22c2,913$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.9821445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked No21c2,362$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4961136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No26c2,349$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes72c2,190$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.4630666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No23c1,740$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes80c1,575$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5812252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes77c1,556$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.882254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes79c1,530$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.36051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed No28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa08d…4ddbbacked Yes76c1,480$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes78c1,082$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.998842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6612053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No23c1,000$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No24c984.19$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.28230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No22c858$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3752060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes80c850.05$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0124566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde44…2adcbacked No22c694.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes79c639.99$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.43053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No21c634.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes80c626.54$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3114953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes80c623.74$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.753138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No22c619.44$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.311527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No25c520$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes76c512.57$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No20c470$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5717447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes80c460.29$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0644939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No21c455$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes79c380$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.92564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No16c342.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.725131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No22c341.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.820744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No22c326.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No24c303$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.728047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes80c302.78$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.564839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes76c296.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb566…d25dbacked Yes79c274.57$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No22c266$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dd…7044backed Yes80c251.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.53256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked No22c238.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…db98backed Yes79c234.58$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.582556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes79c224.96$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.244566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8538…1b79backed No24c191.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e48…368dbacked No20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Yes80c166.74$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes79c158.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.231361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdba…fbb8backed Yes80c146.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No23c145.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.432055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba8…0f27backed Yes80c136.08$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes77c135.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.062661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes76c131.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.255257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…10a0backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…38a2backed Yes77c128.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5829653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeeaf…5631backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes77c125.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed No21c122.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.664257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90a…4dbabacked Yes77c114.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No20c113$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes80c112.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes79c105.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.211640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204928.6%14 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No24c99.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244318.6%8 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked No20c94.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No30c80.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.165860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bea…b0cabacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ec…1859backed Yes77c75.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e39…a802backed No24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes80c73.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.754445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.