TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x722c…515f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.96
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.74
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.93
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.14
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$53.56
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.44
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.31
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$125.07
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.17
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$83.39
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$73.95
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: England (-2.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$73.98
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.05
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$38.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+316.7%+$79.02
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.2%+$390.59
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$59.46
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+525%+$173.03
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.74
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+218.7%+$376.05
Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+384.8%+$192.38
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.7
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.46
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43.31
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+316.7%+$180.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+244.8%+$146.9
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$81.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.46
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+587.3%+$297.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$109.22
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.41
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.22
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.16
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.73
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$103
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$238.6
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+70.5%+$31.53
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+194.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.7
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+2,225.6%+$2,225.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+630%+$142.07
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$274.04
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$215.14
Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+189.1%+$94.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+54.4%+$276.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$248
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.