Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d879d9b81bf42942edb44bf84ace1ab954185d6aee80355eef52815af820b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 23c | 8,967$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.78 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 6c | 4,595$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…4f10backed No | 8c | 2,316$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 55c | 2,041$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.6 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 26c | 1,424$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.81 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 19c | 1,339$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.95 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 21c | 1,300$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 78c | 828.43$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.17 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 71c | 711.03$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 76c | 470$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…5c9ebacked Yes | 22c | 458.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +358.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…88eabacked Yes | 22c | 455$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3861…5433backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…7800backed No | 80c | 417.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…d9b6backed No | 80c | 406.38$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…f237backed No | 80c | 397.5$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 68c | 385.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0d…26fbbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…3a82backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327d…97fbbacked Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…9c38backed Yes | 22c | 301.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 32c | 295$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 17c | 288.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…61e6backed Yes | 22c | 281.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 255$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 21c | 242.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 17c | 240$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 50c | 230$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 190.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 37c | 161.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 79c | 145.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…995dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 22c | 132.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 20c | 119.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed Yes | 23c | 100.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 78c | 92.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…311bbacked Yes | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 68c | 85.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…98aabacked Yes | 18c | 81.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +446.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed No | 80c | 67.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 79c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 80c | 20.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…0a3dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.