Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4090e0157eef79550ebba7d47b5b3a4b53fda4f27fabe52352bed25ff7d6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 34c | 27,405$9,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,087.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 15,555$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.75 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 65c | 14,720$9,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,552.43 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 66c | 13,164$8,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,688.5 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 66c | 3,917$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.02 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 16c | 3,429$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Yes | 69c | 1,799$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…ee76backed Yes | 67c | 1,516$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 66c | 1,494$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.07 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 35c | 1,254$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.4 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 35c | 1,124$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7d97backed No | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 44c | 935.49$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.17 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 66c | 753.22$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.12 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 562.25$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Yes | 65c | 528.09$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 450.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.57 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 47c | 445.39$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 66c | 414.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 64c | 359.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 51c | 345$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 66c | 314.39$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…5476backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 20c | 290$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 35c | 282.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 35c | 268.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 36c | 254.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 35c | 253$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 65c | 239$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.35 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 43c | 231.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 36c | 229.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 71c | 220$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 68c | 218.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 76c | 210$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…58cabacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…aa71backed No | 39c | 180.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 64c | 157.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 36c | 153$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…003ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Yes | 66c | 150.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…e19ebacked Yes | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 65c | 149.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…95f7backed No | 38c | 144.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…03bbbacked No | 38c | 135.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 130.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…1256backed Yes | 63c | 129.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…d1b2backed No | 38c | 125.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…2c7dbacked No | 38c | 122.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…12d5backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…0e3cbacked No | 38c | 118.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 27c | 118.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…012dbacked No | 37c | 117.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab91…3cdcbacked Yes | 64c | 108.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…1e95backed No | 38c | 107.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…150abacked No | 38c | 106.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…c1b3backed No | 37c | 103.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…585fbacked No | 35c | 100.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…9be0backed Yes | 65c | 92.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…4689backed No | 38c | 90.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…8668backed Yes | 64c | 84.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…e7a0backed Yes | 64c | 82.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…f2ddbacked Yes | 64c | 80.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…ef2cbacked Yes | 64c | 80.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…92d0backed Yes | 65c | 78.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…01c6backed Yes | 65c | 78.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…604dbacked Yes | 65c | 76.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…bcd1backed Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…9ee0backed Yes | 63c | 74.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…9cabbacked Yes | 65c | 73.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…5134backed Yes | 65c | 73.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…fde8backed Yes | 64c | 72.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…6c7ebacked Yes | 64c | 71.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 77c | 71.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…e7abbacked Yes | 64c | 68.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.