TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc291…0220

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
554
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Commodities, grading 71 out of 100 (+0.19 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 71 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+60%+$7.5
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$44.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$46.41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$119.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$72
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$59.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$116.69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$77
Will Oxford United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT8836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.44
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$76.91
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.43
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$167.31
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.1
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)backed Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+296.5%+$118.59
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+145.3%+$37.79
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.15
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+468.7%+$123.62
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$32.4
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.96
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$34.79
ASB Classic, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Hugo Gastonbacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.94
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50.25
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Alexander Blockx vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$51.2
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.39
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$74.53
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+124.5%+$51.03
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+109.4%+$100.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.31
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+300%+$101.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+200%+$200
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$93.62
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+36.7%+$25.24
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Will Feyenoord vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29.65
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Red Star Belgrade beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$75.6
Will Real Madrid beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.33
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will the match between Celtic and Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50.08
Will Celtic beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+30.9%+$32.63
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.3
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.84
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.37
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$339
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.8
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Trump negative approval by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.8
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$107.92
Will Todd Blanche be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$99.36
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.94
Trump positive favorability on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.32
Judge issues restraining order to block Trump's funding freeze by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+49.4%+$88.6
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140.72
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$118.61
Will Trump mention DeepSeek by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+219.1%+$185.4
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+99.2%+$325.33
House passes funding bill by midnight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.7
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.6
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35%+$100.54
Will BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$85.55
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+70.8%+$41.66
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+189.2%+$97.23
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.13
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40.6
Will FC Lausanne-Sport vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+212.5%+$40.8
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+56.6%+$48.05
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.06
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.6
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+249.7%+$49.93
Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Rangers beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+108.7%+$67.78
Will Tottenham beat IF Elfsborg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Will AS Roma beat Frankfurt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Rangers beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Olympiacos beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+116.9%+$178
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$272.38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$238.47
Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+76.5%+$56.41
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$486.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$37.2
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+99.5%+$148.59
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+589.7%+$68.4
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+754.1%+$106.9
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Israel strike on Iran on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.85
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.7
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.76
Netanyahu out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.65
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+112%+$503.17
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+60.5%+$111.87
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$58.45
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$143.52
US recognizes Syrian government in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.12
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+59.8%+$159.76
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+93.3%+$255.87
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.4
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.68
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$560.65
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$123.9
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$143.85
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$489
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+30.6%+$295.31
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$172
Will Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah be the next President of Namibia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$54.26
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+28.2%+$44
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+117.4%+$70.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+191.3%+$98.5
Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+68.1%+$109.2
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.08
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+397.7%+$355.98
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+79.9%+$53.3
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$113.95
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+316.7%+$248.68
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+280.9%+$287.6
Will the match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$134.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$52.24
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$163.1
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.14
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+392.3%+$853
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.36
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.51
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.88
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186.04
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$65.6
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$68.03
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$18.47
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$84.41
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$23.34
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+56.3%+$144
Will the Wizards win again this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$233.4
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$75.2
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+185.7%+$19.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-70%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+259.7%+$72.2
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.66
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.82
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.78
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.48
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$17.7
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will Charles Leclerc win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11100%11 W · 0 L+6.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+200.2%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$101.65
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$56.32
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+183%+$194
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+325.7%+$205.73
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$226.3
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+269.1%+$37.13
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+197%+$199
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+354.2%+$414.91
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$271.01
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+376.8%+$158.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.54
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Blues vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+270.4%+$219
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+29.9%+$37.39
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+150%+$120
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+67%+$180.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$16
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+400%+$80
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$64.86
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.7
Louisiana vs. TCUbacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$33.18
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$292.69
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+92.5%+$423.36
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+1,011.1%+$455
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+29.9%+$23
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+57.1%+$43.6
Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$41.42
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$140.87
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+47.1%+$64
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$299.74
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.99
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$15.06
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$260
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$270.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$106.6
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+384.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+384.8%+$317.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+344.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+344.1%+$1,610.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kendrick Lamar release another album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.