Middle East · resolved market
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0956f8964da8a5e45733c6004a43d33e154a4f2893c9ca81e5b3015e374200f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $681,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $681,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d2…1472backed No | 1c | 48,426$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…56e3backed No | 1c | 44,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4db…966ebacked No | 0c | 40,213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…c3d6backed No | 0c | 32,731$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 80c | 17,875$14,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.89 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…573fbacked No | 1c | 15,322$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 32c | 14,717$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.96 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 65c | 13,484$8,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,802.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…5e4bbacked No | 1c | 9,083$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…55cbbacked No | 46c | 8,663$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…d3fabacked No | 1c | 8,167$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…0a92backed No | 1c | 7,295$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…3b1dbacked No | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 41c | 6,762$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.57 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…05e1backed No | 1c | 6,627$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 6,158$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.89 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked No | 2c | 5,900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 56c | 5,614$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.65 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked No | 55c | 5,115$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed No | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…8556backed No | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 22c | 4,811$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.98 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 1c | 4,720$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 20c | 4,640$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.95 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 52c | 4,576$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.58 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed No | 2c | 4,500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 76c | 4,450$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 79c | 4,170$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.28 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed No | 20c | 3,653$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…5761backed No | 10c | 2,915$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…c58fbacked No | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 53c | 2,841$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 77c | 2,823$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.71 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 66c | 2,556$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.37 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 15c | 2,410$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked No | 1c | 2,355$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 64c | 2,208$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.84 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…314cbacked No | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 34c | 2,056$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.24 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…0dc5backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 56c | 1,980$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.84 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…64b8backed No | 1c | 1,857$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…8192backed No | 1c | 1,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked No | 2c | 1,778$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 24c | 1,659$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.95 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked Yes | 78c | 1,539$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…79ebbacked No | 79c | 1,519$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 4c | 1,465$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…c9f3backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed No | 19c | 1,292$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…c680backed No | 47c | 1,203$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,180$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.48 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 46c | 1,100$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…44cbbacked No | 15c | 1,071$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 30c | 1,070$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.1 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 37c | 941.03$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…b1afbacked No | 2c | 930.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 15c | 871.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked No | 14c | 848.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked No | 11c | 846.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed Yes | 72c | 777.81$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…2a52backed No | 65c | 775.89$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 70c | 713.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.67 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddea…5b2bbacked No | 2c | 686.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…18c2backed No | 65c | 683.23$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 57c | 670.42$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…5252backed No | 26c | 667.88$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…848ebacked No | 21c | 645.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 15c | 629.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 80c | 626.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…deb3backed No | 9c | 625.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…4e25backed No | 9c | 544.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…509cbacked Yes | 30c | 535.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4170…d0dcbacked No | 10c | 518.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…b7f5backed No | 19c | 513.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 56c | 497.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…27ebbacked Yes | 48c | 474.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…6912backed No | 11c | 469.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 68c | 438.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…195bbacked No | 8c | 417.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 29c | 404.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 8c | 398$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…84b1backed Yes | 41c | 346.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f99…255dbacked Yes | 44c | 342.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 43c | 326.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 18c | 320.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…1807backed No | 4c | 312.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed No | 8c | 312.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…bdf5backed No | 32c | 305.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 67c | 275.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…3b08backed No | 64c | 269.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 77c | 260.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.