TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1f7…fa11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT7651.3%39 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+290.1%+$368.89
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$144.45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$76.15
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.33
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$190.86
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$128
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$44.8
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$554.36
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$61.5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT4757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,546.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59.8
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.65
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+154.6%+$1,161.39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$159
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.6%+$180.6
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.2%+$47.14
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.7
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.8%+$180.38
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$131.99
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150.62
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.9%+$215.4
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+159.5%+$3,221.78
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+132.6%+$258.01
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$176.07
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$339.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$100.6
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.35
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.7
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19.99
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.88
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.57
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.72
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+80%+$131.15
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$117
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+206.8%+$114.6
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$19.33
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$695.06
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.85
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+147.2%+$236.25
Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+35.4%+$31.37
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$181.5
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$294.36
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$30.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$13.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$40.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.