Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,073,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,786,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,073,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 0c | 1,777,054$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 0c | 1,202,152$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 847,946$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +436.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 4c | 847,664$33,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,032.18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed Yes | 0c | 798,238$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 770,024$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dea…1ab4backed Yes | 1c | 604,952$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36df…6a3bbacked Yes | 0c | 540,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…31dabacked Yes | 1c | 521,424$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,045.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 1c | 511,994$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 1c | 480,517$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd8…e65bbacked Yes | 0c | 471,000$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.58per pick | 22cpaid | +329.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…b494backed Yes | 2c | 418,009$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,511.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…3661backed No | 55c | 383,853$209,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,306.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…7cacbacked Yes | 1c | 382,096$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…a1dcbacked Yes | 1c | 351,307$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 12c | 307,134$36,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,394.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…5088backed Yes | 0c | 301,111$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 4c | 294,920$12,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,941.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…1e0dbacked Yes | 0c | 289,155$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 1c | 284,008$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…96d8backed Yes | 1c | 263,540$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 17c | 244,786$41,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,265.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Yes | 1c | 243,238$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…a4b9backed Yes | 1c | 237,498$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…10c8backed Yes | 0c | 234,653$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 3c | 230,295$7,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 77c | 225,362$174,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,879.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Yes | 0c | 218,550$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…c450backed Yes | 0c | 216,174$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked Yes | 1c | 214,959$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 25c | 209,196$51,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,334.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 0c | 205,061$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 22c | 200,827$43,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,317.58 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ac…cfa6backed Yes | 0c | 190,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…5cefbacked Yes | 0c | 184,773$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 4c | 184,057$7,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,163.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d12…ab54backed Yes | 0c | 180,859$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…1f18backed Yes | 44c | 176,080$77,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,732.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 77c | 168,273$128,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,503.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 166,170$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 1c | 162,401$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.28 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…0e2cbacked Yes | 9c | 157,166$14,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,320.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…d714backed Yes | 1c | 153,232$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…7f19backed Yes | 0c | 152,631$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…d1cbbacked Yes | 1c | 148,740$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 32c | 141,968$44,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,993.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 141,391$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed No | 78c | 140,606$110,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,463.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Yes | 0c | 129,196$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 6cpaid | +354.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa4…6e43backed Yes | 2c | 128,352$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 27c | 127,239$33,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,864.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 4c | 123,930$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed Yes | 2c | 123,607$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Yes | 0c | 118,757$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 0c | 116,787$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…f33dbacked Yes | 9c | 113,993$10,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,293.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a1bbacked Yes | 0c | 111,685$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…add9backed Yes | 1c | 107,550$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 20c | 102,425$20,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,929.13 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 1c | 99,693$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…348dbacked Yes | 5c | 99,111$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…2ffebacked Yes | 6c | 98,087$5,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 8c | 94,372$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 27c | 92,017$24,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,807.56 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed Yes | 0c | 90,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 22c | 89,949$19,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,963.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes | 0c | 85,667$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 58c | 85,293$49,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,786.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 75c | 81,287$60,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,524.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…b27bbacked Yes | 1c | 81,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…f79ebacked Yes | 1c | 80,988$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…482ebacked Yes | 2c | 79,574$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 37c | 79,133$29,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,512.39 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 69c | 79,124$54,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,721.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 78,642$12,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,929.05 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 78,304$48,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,703.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 44c | 75,780$33,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,212.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 39c | 74,928$29,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,284.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…8226backed Yes | 0c | 73,502$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 0c | 73,076$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 4c | 72,739$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 13c | 72,733$9,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,224.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…f271backed Yes | 1c | 72,543$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 2c | 71,472$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…6894backed Yes | 1c | 71,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…eb12backed Yes | 0c | 71,303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked Yes | 7c | 70,248$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…1567backed Yes | 5c | 70,139$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…f6bcbacked Yes | 0c | 69,850$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 1c | 69,641$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 0c | 69,149$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 9c | 69,075$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 7c | 68,234$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 0c | 67,333$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…ebb3backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed Yes | 1c | 64,500$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…71b7backed Yes | 7c | 64,415$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…8f00backed Yes | 2c | 61,808$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.