TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5922…3388

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,679Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+113.2%+$7,563.63
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30,740.56
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$8,451.9
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,899Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.1%+$3,389.3
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25,902.28
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,400
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+135.3%+$11,500
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12,367.35
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,300
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$4,299.99
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,286Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$4,658.33
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$403.4
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29%+$4,500
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$43,234.23
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22,261.62
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,018.34
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$5,499.75
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$8,799.92
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100.8%+$50,200
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$3,299.94
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45,599.77
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39,790.47
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$64,117.43
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$9,299.99
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$189.09
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.88
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$85.41
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.3
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.24
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$46.47
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$90
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.66
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$77
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.5
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)backed largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$135
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.22
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.31
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$509.5
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$638.07
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.94
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$445.02
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.44
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$68.31
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$58.77
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Satan666 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Satan666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$42.05
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.3%+$79
Will Tundra Esports win DreamLeague 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.8%+$17.62
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.1%+$700.42
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.11
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.28
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81,413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$97,481.48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,681.06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,249.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,821.78
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74.62
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$136.79
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+63.8%+$4,053.51
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$700
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.08
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$170.19
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27,251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$8,523.54
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,071Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$3,732.95
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+554.7%+$61.61
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,548Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$1,343.46
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+194.7%+$2,609.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,647.31
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.51
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,982.52
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.38
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$981.16
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,545
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,269.99
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,258.48
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40,073Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.4%+$26,593.5
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.9%+$1,655.58
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$651.84
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,246.14
Wake Forest vs. Dukebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,349.99
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,648.1
UTEP vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$36.21
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$5,699.99
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$352.2
Kentucky vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27,008Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+84.8%+$22,907.52
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$550.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20,212.62
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$398.25
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10,828.78
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$3,100
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$41.35
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12,000
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,900
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$167
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428.17
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,877.66
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54,908Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$234,082.24
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36,586Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$98,918.62
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,772Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11,212.07
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,761.8
All 6 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.9
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,154.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$4,499.98
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15,799.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,207.6
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$131.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$29.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$625.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.