Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2d8f4a76cddac089c7a8be83fba0d3d0029e11f38746b4d20e58696cdcc1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 58,598$11,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,120 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 74c | 12,886$9,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 10,541$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.95 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 7,429$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.83 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 65c | 7,279$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.23 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 7,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 69c | 6,023$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 4,640$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.4 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 3,750$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 3,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Aurora | 80c | 2,925$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.16 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 2,913$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.95 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 2,882$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.58 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 68c | 2,583$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.74 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 65c | 2,353$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.03 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 68c | 2,204$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.45 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 2,124$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.16 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 2,070$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,650$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 79c | 1,544$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,299$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.33 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 78c | 1,221$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aurora | 78c | 1,175$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 66c | 1,053$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.94 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,009$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…7dc0backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 926.47$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 911.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 79c | 910.61$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 880.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 833.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 833$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 806$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Aurora | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc2…e51bbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 765$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Aurora | 80c | 763.75$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…9aa3backed Aurora | 79c | 730.58$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 710.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 702.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 701.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 80c | 681$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Aurora | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 605$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…2b90backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 600.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Aurora | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 600$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 77c | 599.8$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Aurora | 80c | 579.26$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 534.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…a570backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 529.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 506.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aurora | 66c | 500$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Aurora | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora | 63c | 499.76$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Virtus.pro | 3c | 486$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Aurora | 63c | 438.95$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Aurora | 70c | 428.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 349.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…8136backed Aurora | 78c | 333.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…0f32backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 328.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 6c | 297$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Aurora | 78c | 294$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…196fbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 292$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 277.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Aurora | 63c | 275.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 268$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 260.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 260$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Aurora | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 256.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 253.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 250.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 238.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Aurora | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 225.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aurora | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 218.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 214.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 214$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 210.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.