Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248c146b5caa69076f7628cb4ceebe73c82b51ca8b08353fc36c1459f0d76133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Aurora, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 33,299$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,318.82 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 70c | 19,038$13,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,369.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 7,045$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.89 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 5,831$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.28 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 4,650$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.76 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 70c | 4,515$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.49 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 70c | 2,371$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.7 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 66c | 2,150$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,992$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.18 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 70c | 1,966$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.48 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,837$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.19 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,643$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,486$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.46 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,435$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 71c | 1,419$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.53 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.39 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…a5b3backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,240$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 1,200$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.11 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,083$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Aurora | 65c | 1,059$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.12 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 72c | 1,049$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.28 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4af…7dc0backed Aurora | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 59c | 896.34$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 836.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.83 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 5c | 829.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 74c | 809.99$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 794.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Aurora | 71c | 710$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Aurora | 60c | 673.74$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.24 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 596.47$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 72c | 552.6$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 73c | 541$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Aurora | 75c | 530$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 68c | 520.74$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Aurora | 64c | 502.14$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.37 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 496.74$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.46 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Aurora | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 350.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 348.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 72c | 341.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 75c | 330.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.76 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 17c | 328.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Aurora | 51c | 326.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 75c | 325.26$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.85 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 314.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed Aurora | 19c | 298.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 92 | 10.9%10 W · 82 L | -18.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Aurora | 71c | 297.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.88 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Aurora | 71c | 292$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.32 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 271$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 229.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 227.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Aurora | 71c | 214$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 69c | 207$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 201.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora | 71c | 191.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 72c | 173.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked Aurora | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 165.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 165$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 156.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 153.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 148$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 143.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Aurora | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…9a72backed Aurora | 75c | 132.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Aurora | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora | 47c | 121.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 120.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Aurora | 73c | 118.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 111$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Aurora | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Aurora | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Aurora | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175f…dd2bbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Aurora | 73c | 99.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 99.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Aurora | 49c | 87.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Aurora | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 79.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Aurora | 72c | 75.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 74.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Aurora | 44c | 65.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 59.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Aurora | 39c | 58.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Aurora | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…b914backed Aurora | 73c | 54.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…196fbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 50.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Aurora | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.