TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb63a…37b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.61
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$64.32
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.07
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$82.33
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$117.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+200%+$40
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$25.28
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.13
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$106.93
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$11.91
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$46.3
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$12.47
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.11
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$97.57
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.91
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.24
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+103%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+146%+$21.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.