Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548f5fa77c1bf2c8617db24801616e88cec339bf06078ff117106e05c321c9a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Sentinels | 57c | 10,794$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.39 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 67c | 7,000$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.09 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Dignitas | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Dignitas | 43c | 4,800$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.88 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Sentinels | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dignitas | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Dignitas | 32c | 2,848$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.43 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Dignitas | 32c | 2,376$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.03 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…8bddbacked Sentinels | 57c | 1,980$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.31 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Dignitas | 42c | 1,710$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.28 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Dignitas | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dignitas | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Dignitas | 38c | 1,008$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.04 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed Sentinels | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Dignitas | 33c | 511.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Dignitas | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sentinels | 56c | 481.43$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.83 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Dignitas | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Dignitas | 23c | 456.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sentinels | 57c | 409.5$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed Sentinels | 57c | 361$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked Sentinels | 57c | 359.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Dignitas | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Dignitas | 43c | 254.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Dignitas | 43c | 229.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Sentinels | 56c | 208.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dignitas | 43c | 205$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Sentinels | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Sentinels | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sentinels | 56c | 167.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Sentinels | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Dignitas | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Sentinels | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Dignitas | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Dignitas | 39c | 102.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Sentinels | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Dignitas | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Sentinels | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Dignitas | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Dignitas | 38c | 83.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Dignitas | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Dignitas | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Sentinels | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Sentinels | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Dignitas | 43c | 50.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed Sentinels | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…8ee1backed Sentinels | 71c | 46.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Dignitas | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked Dignitas | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas | 36c | 45.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Dignitas | 43c | 43.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Dignitas | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Sentinels | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Dignitas | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.