Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9135b8e51ca98270feff4b6a0f816f9e7cbcbfaa92072e49ace9948fb655e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Dignitas | 15c | 13,360$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.21 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…2dd4backed Dignitas | 16c | 10,727$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Dignitas | 15c | 5,611$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Dignitas | 5c | 5,483$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Dignitas | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Dignitas | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Dignitas | 16c | 4,400$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dignitas | 17c | 3,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Dignitas | 16c | 2,678$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Dignitas | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dignitas | 9c | 1,624$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Dignitas | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Dignitas | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dignitas | 16c | 1,351$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dignitas | 15c | 1,185$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Dignitas | 15c | 930$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Dignitas | 16c | 911.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dignitas | 3c | 773$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Dignitas | 15c | 739.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dignitas | 16c | 613.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dignitas | 9c | 556.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Dignitas | 15c | 502.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Dignitas | 15c | 499.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dignitas | 16c | 460.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Dignitas | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Dignitas | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Dignitas | 16c | 318.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Dignitas | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Dignitas | 5c | 289.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 158 | 21.5%34 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Dignitas | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Dignitas | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Dignitas | 16c | 205$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Dignitas | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Dignitas | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…2f97backed Dignitas | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Dignitas | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Dignitas | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Dignitas | 16c | 168.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Dignitas | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Dignitas | 12c | 158.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 306 | 43.1%132 W · 174 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Dignitas | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…ce53backed Dignitas | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Dignitas | 16c | 147.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Dignitas | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…e904backed Dignitas | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -7.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Dignitas | 15c | 109.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed Dignitas | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…dcc2backed Dignitas | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 222 | 38.7%86 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Sentinels | 80c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 195 | 52.3%102 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.