Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2dd0cc5fa3d3f24f274e14e93de62106ae333e771daec8ea428c52591b83cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Dignitas | 23c | 7,241$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.19 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Dignitas | 25c | 4,388$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.88 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Sentinels | 75c | 4,179$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.9 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Dignitas | 6c | 2,700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…fa55backed Sentinels | 78c | 2,119$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed Sentinels | 78c | 2,115$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.59 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Dignitas | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Dignitas | 23c | 1,487$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.01 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Dignitas | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Dignitas | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,221 | 35.9%438 W · 783 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Dignitas | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Dignitas | 22c | 975$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Sentinels | 77c | 811.51$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dignitas | 23c | 745.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas | 9c | 699.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dignitas | 18c | 657.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dignitas | 19c | 641.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Sentinels | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Dignitas | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dignitas | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dignitas | 10c | 470.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 78c | 440.46$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Sentinels | 79c | 424$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Dignitas | 13c | 417.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Dignitas | 24c | 410$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 831 | 49.8%414 W · 417 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Dignitas | 24c | 409.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Dignitas | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Dignitas | 26c | 383.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Dignitas | 16c | 375.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sentinels | 75c | 370$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…7310backed Sentinels | 78c | 353.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Dignitas | 10c | 306.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sentinels | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Sentinels | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dignitas | 15c | 299$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Dignitas | 23c | 278.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Sentinels | 74c | 269.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked Sentinels | 76c | 261.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Dignitas | 5c | 245.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Dignitas | 10c | 202.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Sentinels | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…fca9backed Dignitas | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dignitas | 20c | 174.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Dignitas | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Dignitas | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Dignitas | 17c | 115.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Dignitas | 19c | 114.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Dignitas | 23c | 112.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Dignitas | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Dignitas | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 630 | 43.8%276 W · 354 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Dignitas | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +25.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Sentinels | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Dignitas | 19c | 68.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels | 75c | 52.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Sentinels | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 628 | 51%320 W · 308 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Dignitas | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Sentinels | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Sentinels | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 349 | 67.3%235 W · 114 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Sentinels | 78c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed Sentinels | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…19f5backed Sentinels | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…d6fcbacked Sentinels | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 158 | 71.5%113 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Sentinels | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Sentinels | 78c | 15.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.