TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35b7…fbcf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
279
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT27367%183 W · 90 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 273 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.99
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,079.99
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.83
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$600
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$657.46
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$1,688.84
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$35.29
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,160
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$418.83
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,602Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$401.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$720
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.99
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$890
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$849.99
Showing 25 of 273 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.