TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$831,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$847,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed No29c600,000$173,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,994.417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes71c588,968$418,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170,800.6274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd366…0184backed No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257842.3%33 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc894…3f4dbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes57c7,502$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.1613330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128b…bee9backed Yes70c7,439$5,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.696956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes64c6,094$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.2218056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c5,974$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.52,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b1…60efbacked No4c5,748$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…99b2backed No43c4,105$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.718733.3%29 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes58c4,000$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.259645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed No25c3,054$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.7111020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed No33c3,051$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked No28c3,037$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.676246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No22c3,012$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed No40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9910471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb323…b4c3backed No32c2,892$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.564348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No22c2,818$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.326622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No32c2,606$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.1627034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked No23c2,514$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed No27c2,348$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.358746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed No47c2,139$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed No16c2,100$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9846223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes68c2,055$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed No44c1,993$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8736947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes76c1,938$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.0432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Yes79c1,897$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes60c1,842$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.758235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No7c1,828$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.041705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes60c1,668$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.5914546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes60c1,659$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed No76c1,492$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.821553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No3c1,477$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed No27c1,430$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.717816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf191…2938backed No33c1,390$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.335347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9b…b6fcbacked No9c1,380$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef2…23c7backed No37c1,340$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked No44c1,235$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.259952.5%52 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked No24c1,207$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.073630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Yes59c1,187$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6119744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No37c1,169$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5216647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked No42c1,168$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.835735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Yes60c1,157$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.424641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes25c1,146$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.51,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed No44c1,137$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8c…4df4backed No31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Yes58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.995545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Yes65c997.37$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.979372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes55c996.08$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.5913454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e63…d208backed No37c990.48$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.992213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No35c951.39$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.512,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes63c898.39$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.422,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed No23c869.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes35c850.71$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.714351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes80c816.7$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4711942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Yes62c805.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.361070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Yes73c805.28$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.252441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2299…8f6abacked Yes70c793.22$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.551957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked No13c788.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes65c781.88$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed No79c772.72$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.535662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes35c753.25$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.4317241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked No27c728.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6412…71c5backed No42c715.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No45c706$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.741,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes72c695.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.132060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes71c681.15$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5851228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Yes76c617.23$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked No8c612.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.033619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae4d…26a3backed No40c609.91$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.551747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b4…5113backed Yes63c607.68$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.851968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes23c602.39$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.384238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2708453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed No43c559.44$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5616032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed No10c550$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.533221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked No9c545.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked No46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…a949backed Yes19c538.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.632050%10 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+88.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed No15c538.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed No46c536.74$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.99237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed No38c523.95$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1994339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes58c517.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.414845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes71c512.21$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked No15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed No21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Yes80c485.65$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.135549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked No20c485.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.137636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d50…e29fbacked Yes62c481.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.36768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed No21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed No42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0122…34fbbacked No42c471.79$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked No44c458.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No18c447.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed No46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No26c420.25$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.632,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Yes77c415.58$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5810246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.