Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ba9a496254935dbad22225ab2b6b6dad068b0534ea8f3e5c881290597893ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 71c | 2,946$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.23 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 3c | 2,591$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 1,353$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.09 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 29c | 831.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 737.78$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 31c | 600.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 29c | 552.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 504.19$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 429.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 31c | 404$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 336.69$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 30c | 324.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 29c | 310.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 30c | 269$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 31c | 264.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 243.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 69c | 230.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 69c | 166.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 69c | 159.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…c4a9backed Over | 71c | 140.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 138.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…4277backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 31c | 85.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 27c | 84.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…00c9backed Over | 69c | 75.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 31c | 71.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 31c | 45.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 31c | 41.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 32c | 34.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…607bbacked Over | 69c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.