Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d703c5a1e5f059b610a2c5c09954fff227cfb86896a612443379d7728b06f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof Egypt, Australia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Egypt | 5c | 38,000$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.69 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Egypt | 6c | 36,838$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Egypt | 5c | 15,189$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.18 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…4bc8backed Egypt | 5c | 9,025$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.27 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Egypt | 5c | 3,177$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Egypt | 5c | 2,650$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Egypt | 7c | 1,756$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Egypt | 5c | 1,249$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Egypt | 5c | 932.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Egypt | 5c | 896$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Egypt | 10c | 870.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Egypt | 12c | 840.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…e26ebacked Egypt | 5c | 750$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Egypt | 5c | 593.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed Egypt | 4c | 568.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 20%22 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Egypt | 6c | 539.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Egypt | 5c | 484.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Egypt | 11c | 454.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Egypt | 5c | 446.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bc…70a3backed Egypt | 4c | 437.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…efb4backed Egypt | 5c | 389.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Egypt | 4c | 388.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Egypt | 5c | 358.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Egypt | 3c | 344.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked Egypt | 5c | 339.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Egypt | 5c | 324.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Egypt | 6c | 318$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…be20backed Egypt | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Egypt | 5c | 230.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Egypt | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Egypt | 11c | 165.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Egypt | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Egypt | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…abfcbacked Egypt | 10c | 112.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Egypt | 15c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)this page
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Australia (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.