TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x351d…8574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 51 out of 100; worst Cricket at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT16725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$67.67
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$192.49
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$87.84
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.9
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$110.81
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.1
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$85.43
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT8113.6%11 W · 70 L-12.7wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-56.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Cricket — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Worcestershire vs Hampshirebacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.35
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.86
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Sussex vs Yorkshirebacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Somerset vs Warwickshirebacked Warwickshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+218.2%+$74.74
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.15
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Colombo Kapsbacked Dambulla Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Somerset vs Gloucestershirebacked Gloucestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Sussexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Worcestershire vs Derbyshirebacked Derbyshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Glamorgan vs Yorkshirebacked Glamorgan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Global Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Perth Scorchers XIbacked Perth Scorchers XI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kingsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.7
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Colombo Kapsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Welsh Firebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Worcestershirebacked Worcestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.25
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Hampshirebacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Glamorganbacked Gloucestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
T20 Blast: Kent vs Middlesexbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$72.32
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Bohemian FC 1 - 1 FC Ballkani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)backed SK Torpedo Kutaisi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$14.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.