Other European Leagues · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae7430f3c9c0c6767fbe40185a177e77f627274c00ac0e129d4c9db64da4dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,208$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 2,527$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.87 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 2,489$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.25 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dd8abacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 1,680$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.72 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 48c | 1,106$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.16 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 936.85$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.53 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 32c | 868.75$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 841.66$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 674.99$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 484.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 426.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 43c | 380$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 350.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 342.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 69c | 289.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 259.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 206.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 202.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 166.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 145.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 51c | 124$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 120.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 47c | 110.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 54c | 104.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 102.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 68c | 92.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Under | 49c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 47c | 65.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 44.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 40.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 43c | 30.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 55c | 23.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 57c | 19.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: SK Brann O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.