TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee3…a899

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$890.68
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$131.95
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$455.56
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$168.79
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$225.71
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)backed Tromsø IL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)backed FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)backed Viking FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)backed Viking FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$327.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$237.49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+192.8%+$192.81
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of July 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$109.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33%+$16.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$8.06
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+116.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+150%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,464.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+2,464.1%+$739.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Leheckabacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.