AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf105ea1a83605540617366526881a245bd0fb586e0cfe15c1582d0d3ee579558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,967,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,036,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,967,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x768c…49c3backed Yes | 19c | 152,197$28,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,302.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…45f0backed Yes | 8c | 91,944$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,435.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…f71abacked Yes | 9c | 44,908$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 41,736$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4f41backed Yes | 27c | 40,702$10,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,786.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 18c | 40,590$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 6c | 40,091$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.72 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 4c | 38,059$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.31 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 35,928$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.19 | 146 | 21.2%31 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 34,777$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 631 | 1.3%8 W · 623 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 31,658$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.72 | 257 | 0.8%2 W · 255 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e459backed Yes | 14c | 29,412$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 2c | 25,143$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…a0e7backed Yes | 5c | 25,015$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked Yes | 18c | 22,279$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…c6c9backed Yes | 3c | 21,285$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 20,852$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.55 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff23…713ebacked Yes | 16c | 18,992$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f0…09febacked Yes | 4c | 18,978$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…fa56backed Yes | 10c | 18,820$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 7c | 17,744$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.22 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 0c | 17,166$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…661bbacked Yes | 2c | 17,087$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…5b9abacked Yes | 13c | 16,242$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…81bfbacked Yes | 7c | 16,071$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…3049backed Yes | 18c | 15,980$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3627backed Yes | 7c | 15,954$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 5c | 15,531$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…d7e3backed Yes | 2c | 14,914$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…efcfbacked Yes | 4c | 14,883$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 5c | 14,829$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…8c95backed Yes | 2c | 14,676$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…a6fcbacked Yes | 15c | 14,613$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 4c | 14,473$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.7 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…213bbacked Yes | 29c | 13,644$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 9c | 13,068$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 8c | 12,537$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…72a1backed Yes | 8c | 12,313$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…3715backed Yes | 20c | 11,813$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…ced7backed Yes | 1c | 11,578$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…2070backed Yes | 4c | 11,523$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 10,781$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.82 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…92b6backed Yes | 5c | 10,595$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…5cf2backed Yes | 10c | 10,540$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…d9eabacked Yes | 5c | 10,318$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…18dfbacked Yes | 32c | 10,199$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…5154backed Yes | 32c | 9,369$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 7c | 9,348$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.13 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed Yes | 6c | 9,179$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 9,149$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.42 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 11c | 8,808$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 23c | 8,644$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 6c | 8,448$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 5c | 8,237$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.01 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed Yes | 1c | 8,156$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631f…f062backed Yes | 2c | 8,060$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…16babacked Yes | 7c | 8,043$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 17c | 7,870$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.57 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…13b1backed Yes | 8c | 7,703$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…5614backed Yes | 18c | 7,570$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…0b64backed Yes | 21c | 7,552$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…f6cebacked Yes | 0c | 7,461$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes | 9c | 7,424$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…450dbacked Yes | 10c | 7,353$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 12c | 6,721$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.88 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…2dd9backed Yes | 0c | 6,652$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,575$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 7c | 6,567$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 6,524$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 6,192$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 1,368 | 6.8%93 W · 1,275 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 9c | 6,085$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,984$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 4c | 5,939$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…e72ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,914$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ad…e1ccbacked Yes | 6c | 5,769$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…27e3backed Yes | 17c | 5,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,678$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 83 | 1.2%1 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,616$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,588$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 4c | 5,509$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -68%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…4c93backed Yes | 14c | 5,371$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed Yes | 11c | 5,331$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…a103backed Yes | 5c | 5,216$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 25c | 5,180$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.94 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…755ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,138$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…73d2backed Yes | 11c | 5,066$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.49 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 4,816$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 4c | 4,730$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 29c | 4,714$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 8c | 4,510$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…6fbabacked Yes | 8c | 4,390$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…bb22backed Yes | 2c | 4,361$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…34c2backed Yes | 5c | 4,271$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 4,241$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,223$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 259 | 0%0 W · 259 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7788…99d2backed Yes | 7c | 4,210$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 12c | 4,181$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…bd2cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,170$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.