TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc26…32ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8719.5%17 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$2,971.26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19,979Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$14,134
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$2,129.05
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.57
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.74
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$7,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,625.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,574.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$15,781.56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,572.43
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$8,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,828.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,953.74
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,117.25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29,657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+331%+$98,175.02
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+459.5%+$46,033.41
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.96
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.66
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-79.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,829.54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,379.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,421.15
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155.39
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,304.43
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,035.11
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,598.84
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+255.2%+$1,437
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,340
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,363.53
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.69
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$43.8
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+370.7%+$686.04
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.1
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.89
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.01
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.16
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.11
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$5,301.6
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+467.1%+$1,275.63
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.64
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.33
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.77
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.46
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.24
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+302.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+662.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,424.9%+$15,876.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,307.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.