China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f779bedf03ec8dfd785bdeeb7688f40bcdbc3b32cb21a8b57992004c223385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x314a…80f6backed Yes | 2c | 27,860$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…53b3backed Yes | 4c | 12,520$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 13c | 5,427$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.94 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…8ec6backed Yes | 10c | 4,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,805$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 23cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,505$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 33cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…f821backed Yes | 2c | 1,906$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,883$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…ecf8backed Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Yes | 9c | 1,509$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…c647backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…c555backed Yes | 3c | 1,286$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…c211backed Yes | 7c | 1,211$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…f84cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 10c | 1,047$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,002$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…9886backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 10c | 992.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 972.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 9c | 949.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 9c | 895.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…1e30backed Yes | 3c | 885$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…3b9cbacked Yes | 12c | 842.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 2c | 801.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 12c | 785.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 782.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…b069backed Yes | 3c | 753.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 11c | 750$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…71cabacked Yes | 3c | 723.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…5373backed Yes | 14c | 721.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 3c | 711.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6345…6718backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 6c | 587.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 9c | 585$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 14c | 559.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed6…4371backed Yes | 3c | 551.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 11c | 524.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…4acdbacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…7531backed Yes | 2c | 488$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed Yes | 3c | 472.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +316.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…9b92backed Yes | 9c | 435.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…d280backed Yes | 3c | 425$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519e…7b80backed Yes | 9c | 423.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…01d6backed Yes | 12c | 342.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 8c | 306.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 11c | 293.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 6c | 288.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 16c | 281.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…1dacbacked Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…50c1backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…bc5cbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…2d86backed Yes | 8c | 246.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…e458backed Yes | 4c | 245.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 237.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…997ebacked Yes | 11c | 231.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4e…7e37backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…a820backed Yes | 5c | 213.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…eec7backed Yes | 9c | 206.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…725abacked Yes | 7c | 202.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…9783backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e73…db00backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…39e8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…fdf2backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa338…2acabacked Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…a4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…6e93backed Yes | 9c | 175.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 12c | 171.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 18c | 163.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…df00backed Yes | 12c | 161.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…8f01backed Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76a…750abacked Yes | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 12c | 145.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 144.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 12c | 143.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…78d1backed Yes | 10c | 137.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.