TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c3d…5c6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,917
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst Space at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT51138.7%198 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 511 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.88
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.57
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$350.32
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.11
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,805Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$673.71
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,427.3
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,663Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$415.72
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,595Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$738.1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+158%+$140.65
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.86
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$3,317.78
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.14
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+223.4%+$166.8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$3,150.57
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$2,222.22
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,798Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$2,272.69
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$271.9
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,956.16
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.45
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,388.17
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$61.61
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.18
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,804.07
Showing 25 of 511 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT41238.8%160 W · 252 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 412 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51%+$457.91
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$82
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.72
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,444.87
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+225.7%+$522.82
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$1,173.25
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360.15
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.39
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.49
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$510.2
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$455.8
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,431.02
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99.8
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.58
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.61
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.9%+$268.82
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200.86
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+153.7%+$72.2
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$484.33
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$105.37
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+48.4%+$93.49
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+216.5%+$115.24
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73.1
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,390.46
Showing 25 of 412 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13545.9%62 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,352.77
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$880
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.22
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.05
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.29
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$854.6
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$575.68
France vs. England: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120.03
England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.9
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,043.03
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$479.8
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+247.4%+$1,265.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.87
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.13
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$184.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.52
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.72
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT12927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.93
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.2
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.76
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.43
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$337.24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$74,493.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,475.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$203,359.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.94
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+950.6%+$732.9
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$726.11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,072.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,700.71
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.58
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+240.9%+$211.97
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,552.09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$322.16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15,253.25
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$240.49
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$224.43
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.75
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.1
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$639.59
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,213.27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$484.46
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+821%+$1,782.85
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+467.5%+$48.61
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,050
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$6,701.31
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80.76
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,553.89
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$180.5
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$94.5
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$209.78
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$914.96
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,931Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,038.15
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.6
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$711.04
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$59.22
Will turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25.6%+$197.2
Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$84.61
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,836Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+59.6%+$5,268.35
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,219Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.9%+$1,895.58
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$404.99
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$77.64
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT8220.7%17 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$280.86
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.04
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.54
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$495.99
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.2
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.64
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.04
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.57
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.84
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,503Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$2,017.28
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.73
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$204.24
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.47
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.55
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.8
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$301.58
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$114.91
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185.72
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.32
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.98
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,165.14
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.71
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.85
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.18
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.76
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80.54
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$564.7
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.49
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$707.69
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.2%+$2,162.87
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$201
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$82.41
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$170.73
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,886Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.3%+$590.84
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$421.65
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$1,311.17
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$183.44
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21,333.1
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$367.6
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT5623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+105%+$655.61
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.5%+$989.63
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$465.51
No token launch by March 31backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.89
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$77.78
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$111.11
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$246.64
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$191.11
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$93.75
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$964.35
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10,659.02
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$115.49
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,742Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+454.7%+$7,919.21
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$105.79
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+109.2%+$3,769.98
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,286.32
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$892.16
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.74
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,829.12
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.78
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$265.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.2
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.99
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+1,257.6%+$387.56
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$374.14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,236.71
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$894.73
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$979.74
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$506.75
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$2,699.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,323.19
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$5,403.3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,052.22
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$963.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,275.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200.85
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.43
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$863.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$980
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,994Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$5,925.24
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.51
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,487.09
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$53.54
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+128%+$471.76
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.81
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,222.66
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$76.37
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.45
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$231.06
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,105.49
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.9%+$878.8
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+155.6%+$430.55
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$118.61
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$7,334.63
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35,201.46
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+465.2%+$10,746.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$9,870.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$113.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+313%+$1,466.17
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$9,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,526.89
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$226
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+97.6%+$1,726.42
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+308.5%+$4,816.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,554.36
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$89.86
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.68
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,678Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$3,568.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5,399.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+52%+$191.67
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$415.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$662.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$862.07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.1%+$4,509.11
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$604.8
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.41
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.96
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.99
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.99
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$82.07
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$66.44
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$105
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+324.3%+$338.23
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+386.1%+$644.04
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.17
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,900.91
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.47
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,075.9
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.11
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$277.41
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,672.39
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,593Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+27.2%+$3,427.19
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,989Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.3%+$3,123.85
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT3429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,631.02
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.61
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$465
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$512
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$567
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$2,000
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,191.32
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,593Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+31.7%+$1,140.23
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+67%+$601.68
Will Eric Adams endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.69
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.44
Will no one drop out first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$83.25
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$666.6
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.64
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.65
Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.4
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.16
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+35.7%+$540
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+37.6%+$168.52
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.65
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+57.2%+$229.76
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$721.69
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$1,185.9
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.07
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,106.41
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$20.15
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.1%+$18.37
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$385.53
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will St. Louis record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.14
Will New York City record the first snowfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.03
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.49
Megaquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.49
Megaquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.55
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$137.02
Megaquake before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.09
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.29
Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.2
Earthquake 7.0 or above before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.83
Megaquake in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$476.8
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$105.33
Will it snow in D.C. on Inauguration day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.72
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+43.8%+$265.45
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+82.8%+$692.23
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+173.3%+$781.17
Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$44.5
2024 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+25%+$280.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$840.04
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$758.09
Will the Champions League Final be decided in regular time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.43
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.34
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.02
Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Feyenoord · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.51
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+138.1%+$193.14
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+80.1%+$177.89
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+182.5%+$169.91
Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Will PSV beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+131.1%+$232.78
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+170.2%+$96.32
Will AC Milan beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$119.7
Will Barcelona beat Bayern Munich?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$261.71
Will Bayern Munich beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+45.1%+$62.14
Will PSV beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$93.85
Will Sporting CP beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$91.02
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$1,155.76
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49%+$328.98
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.35
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$240.49
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$87.7
Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.32
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+116.9%+$950.39
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.49
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$433.35
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$41.6
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.04
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.18
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+130.5%+$826.16
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$23.86
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.51
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.15
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.87
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.48
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Kanye West release an album before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$1,298.35
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$173.91
Eminem's "Houdini" debuts #1 on Billboard hot 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$140.43
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.02
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,653Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.3%+$6,939.97
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+46%+$674.01
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26%+$715.93
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$86.9
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the Rizzler appear in a Super Bowl LIX Commercial?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+171.7%+$195.01
Will there be a streaker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+48.7%+$152.73
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 4 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 5 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 6 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.02
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$127.92
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+47.8%+$143.05
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.18
Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$96.11
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$43.25
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+37.2%+$81.34
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+49.1%+$41.82
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2024, EST-100%-$205.99
Super Bowl LVIII: Will Usher's first song of the Super Bowl LVIII Halftime Show be "My Way"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2024, EST-100%-$12.19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$6,737.06
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$93.83
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$79.92
Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+29.8%+$433.3
Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+511.9%+$416.51
Will Phil Foden be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$112.01
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+25.4%+$10.3
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$236.32
Will France win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+25.2%+$97
Will Antoine Griezmann be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.69
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+63.8%+$13.72
Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.1
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.09
Will Jamal Musiala be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$307.35
Will Romelu Lukaku be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$73.86
Euro 2024: Favorite fails to advance beyond group stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT+44.6%+$115.62
Will Netherlands win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Italy win Group B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$66
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich: Who will advance?backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.67
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.06
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.85
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$73.88
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+70.9%+$415
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$111.31
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$532.03
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$448.45
Ye banned on X in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$225.6
Will Elon tweet 280-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+304.2%+$602.66
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$255.63
Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$172.53
Will Elon tweet 130 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+51.2%+$242.54
Will Elon tweet 110-119 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Elon tweet 120 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will Elon tweet 100-109 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$256.92
Will Elon tweet 100+ times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2024, EDT+30%+$134.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$8,974.6
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.7
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$426.29
Will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit 38000 (LOW) in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$10.3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.5%+$914.69
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26,493Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$9,954.9
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.5%+$38.78
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$21.34
Roaring Kitty billionaire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$312.78
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+25.1%+$1,016.95
GME halted on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$96.51
GME halted on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2024, EDT+144%+$29.14
Roaring Kitty livestream by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$82
$GME halted on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$264.3
$GME halted on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT+31.1%+$264.31
$GME halted 10 times today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.33
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.77
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.01
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.25
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.8
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.57
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.95
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.75
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28.66
Rhode Island Rams vs. Maine Black Bears (W)backed Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-69.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$102.85
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$61.31
Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$24.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$28.61
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$37.38
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.93
Will Lando Norris win the British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.36
Will Max Verstappen win the British Grand Prixbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$9.08
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+133%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.27
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.98
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$301.97
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$329.59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28%+$109.46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.51
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+1,136.5%+$2,046.76
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+693.3%+$3,112.12
Discord IPO in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$9.4
Will Reddit IPO at between $10b-12.5b valuation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.49
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$119.7
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.13
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+28.8%+$44.01
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33.8
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.34
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+107.6%+$170.52
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$149.55
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$791.5
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$157.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FalleN retire by June 1? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$395.84
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,282.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.24
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$341.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+102.8%+$85.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$119.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$466.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$243.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.