Premier League · resolved market
Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405adbdbffbe850627afcf627f4ada2e53a89abeadffee822fc6f8bc7db5b873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Yes | 13c | 34,866$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,295.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 35c | 24,799$8,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,241.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 23c | 8,390$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 18c | 8,307$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.76 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 13c | 6,100$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 79c | 4,928$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.09 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed No | 66c | 3,045$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 67c | 2,842$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.87 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes | 13c | 2,278$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 18c | 1,803$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.88 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27a…13b7backed Yes | 21c | 1,776$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8f33backed No | 57c | 1,467$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…df5abacked No | 65c | 1,313$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 39c | 1,298$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.78 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed Yes | 35c | 1,210$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 65c | 1,189$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.82 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 60c | 1,069$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.58 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 38c | 1,061$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.22 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 19c | 1,001$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.42 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…62cebacked Yes | 28c | 699.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +326.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 61c | 686$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.89 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 550$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 42c | 540.11$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 497.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 30c | 462.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…a395backed Yes | 29c | 420$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 5c | 402.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.22 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…d9bebacked Yes | 39c | 386.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 15c | 289.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…6d42backed Yes | 73c | 264.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 24c | 224.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 23c | 220$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 20c | 166.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 18c | 153.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…dc66backed No | 66c | 153.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…a7fbbacked No | 67c | 142.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…10fdbacked No | 67c | 141.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a91…1851backed No | 77c | 129.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3199backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…11dcbacked No | 66c | 104.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…6c3fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b84bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…37eabacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…26ecbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 37c | 81.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…bfb9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…ea9ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…8d23backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bf74backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3213…dd1fbacked Yes | 37c | 29.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…d350backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…39cdbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…d0e6backed No | 57c | 19.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?this page
- Will Alvaro Morata be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Antoine Griezmann be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jamal Musiala be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Phil Foden be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.