Premier League · resolved market
Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4a704de536be8f7d1aa6d505c95dff76d61db7ad19eb19a2ca65112c957aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Yes | 7c | 25,455$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…50e1backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,995$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…8fc8backed Yes | 11c | 1,393$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 5c | 1,074$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 1,025$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 6c | 920.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…276bbacked Yes | 11c | 903.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…5e16backed Yes | 8c | 800$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…3737backed Yes | 10c | 605.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 15c | 480.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3a…8cb5backed Yes | 11c | 478.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 12c | 472.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 465$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…f93bbacked Yes | 14c | 362.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2426…d3e5backed Yes | 15c | 286.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…a38abacked Yes | 10c | 200.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…37eabacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…cdc4backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…a395backed Yes | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 10c | 116$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b2…df23backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…9386backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…b13ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…c8a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?this page
- Will Alvaro Morata be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Antoine Griezmann be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jamal Musiala be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Phil Foden be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.