Premier League · resolved market
Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a04d3947d7b66c606c57462b2ed57e09d5b00c635372bcb3a8f96543094c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes | 18c | 3,914$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 71c | 1,358$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.32 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Yes | 30c | 1,316$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…8fc8backed Yes | 30c | 1,134$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 12c | 916.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 69c | 716.86$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…d98bbacked Yes | 29c | 700.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…2759backed Yes | 14c | 650.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 17c | 590.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 31c | 489.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 11c | 467.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…f93bbacked Yes | 37c | 349.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2426…d3e5backed Yes | 13c | 326.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…4ababacked Yes | 31c | 323.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8637backed Yes | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 15c | 294.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed Yes | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…37eabacked Yes | 12c | 255$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 70c | 248.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 14c | 204.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 71c | 201.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…8588backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…0fb7backed Yes | 30c | 167.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 35c | 165.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes | 10c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…61cabacked Yes | 35c | 155$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…16f2backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…cdc4backed Yes | 16c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 14c | 144.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…6a49backed Yes | 15c | 131.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…81eebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…472dbacked Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 70c | 107.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…7d95backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc601…ae82backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 14c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…a38abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…32c5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…ea9ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822d…1de8backed No | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer?this page
- Will Alvaro Morata be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Antoine Griezmann be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jamal Musiala be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Phil Foden be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.