TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94d8…37e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 62 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+347.8%+$46.6
Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+818.2%+$204.55
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.09
Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$45.56
Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the announcers say "Penalty" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$14.32
Will the announcers say "Red Devil" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+465.3%+$69.79
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.8
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$36.46
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.15
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$60.54
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+133.9%+$575.98
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+311.8%+$938.43
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.61
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$145
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.9%+$74.16
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$85.51
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,029.98
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$525.6
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,030
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,081.99
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$339
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.72
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.45
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$440.04
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.48
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.64
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.3
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$456.5
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$1,572.6
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$708.53
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,323.07
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.99
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$160.18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$11.14
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$44.2
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+34%+$33.98
Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$28.7
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.8%+$91.41
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.8%+$23.42
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.75
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.7%+$63.43
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30.12
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$369.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chris Hemsworth appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+253.2%+$88.62
Will Chris Evans appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+97%+$25.45
Will Pedro Pascal appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$67.53
Will "Son" be said during the next Avengers: Doomsday trailer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Emma Chamberlain be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$5.29
Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+90.2%+$82.28
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+246.3%+$66.24
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$65.75
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+274.5%+$59.95
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+285.4%+$125.89
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+41.4%+$102.45
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.21
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$37.5
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+27%+$6.07
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$31.29
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.8
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.3
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$27.66
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.4%+$23.5
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96.05
Will Spotify report greater than 745 million monthly active users?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will any artist win 5+ Grammys this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+82%+$45.09
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$117.65
Will Feliz Navidad - José Feliciano be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Will It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas - Michael Bublé be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Underneath the Tree - Kelly Clarkson be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will A Holly Jolly Christmas - Burl Ives be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+169.9%+$164.82
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+45.5%+$22.77
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Sabrina Carpenter say "Manchild" during SNL appearance on October 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$40.45
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$75.01
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$630.7
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.65
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Inter Miami vs. Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$86.69
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+91.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$405.01
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$94.99
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$58.59
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+346.4%+$48.5
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City beat West Ham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
Will Manchester United beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.9
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$59.69
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$71.06
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$135.9
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.5
Will Trump say "October 7th" 4+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$14.46
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Autopen" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+354.5%+$36.48
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$92.73
Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$274.39
Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maurizio Sarri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$8.18
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Inter Milan beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.75
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+35.7%+$53.58
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+181.7%+$258
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Will Trump say "China" or "President Xi" during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.9%+$24.58
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+111.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Leo Vithoontien vs Yaojie Zengbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$269.66
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$63.19
CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Atlhletic Bilbao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$24.12
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.2
Ethereum all time high by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$30.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.